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Articles: politics: 2008 January

<< Previous: 2007 December | Back to Most Recent | Next: 2008 February >>

Page 1

Florida Primary Results
Wednesday, 2008 January 30 - 9:00 am

Republicans:

  • McCain: 36% (57 delegates)
  • Romney: 31%
  • Giuliani: 15%
  • Huckabee: 13%
  • Paul: 4%

Notes

  • Clinton won the Democratic vote, but Florida was stripped of its delegates by the Democratic Party for moving up its primary date.
  • Florida is a winner-take-all state for delegates.
  • Giuliani is widely expected to drop out of the race today, and possibly endorse McCain. Giuliani had counted on a strong showing in Florida.
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Posted by Ken in: politics

South Carolina Democratic Primary Results
Sunday, 2008 January 27 - 9:52 am

Democrats:

  • Obama: 55% (25 delegates)
  • Clinton: 27% (12 delegates)
  • Edwards: 18% (8 delegates)

Notes

  • John Edwards won South Carolina in 2004. His distant third-place finish must be disappointing to him, and should be a sign of his increasing irrelevance in this race. Time to move on, John.
  • Bill Richardson dropped out of the race on January 10th. Somehow I missed that.
  • Dennis Kucinich dropped out of the Democratic race Thursday. Political blogs continue, though, to keep close tabs on his hot wife.
  • Fred Thompson dropped out of the Republican race Tuesday. Political blogs continue, though, to keep close tabs on his hot wife.
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Posted by Ken in: politics

Nevada and South Carolina Results
Sunday, 2008 January 20 - 12:37 pm

Democrats, Nevada:

  • Clinton: 51% (12 delegates)
  • Obama: 45% (13 delegates)
  • Edwards: 4% (0 delegates)
  • Kucinich: 0%
  • Richardson: 0%

Republicans, Nevada:

  • Romney: 51% (18 delegates)
  • Paul: 14% (4 delegates)
  • McCain: 13% (4 delegates)
  • Huckabee: 8% (2 delegates)
  • Thompson: 8% (2 delegates)
  • Giuliani: 4% (1 delegate)
  • Hunter: 2%

Republicans, South Carolina:

  • McCain: 33% (19 delegates)
  • Huckabee: 30% (5 delegates)
  • Thompson: 16%
  • Romney: 15%
  • Paul: 4%
  • Giuliani: 2%
  • Hunter: 0%

Notes

  • Duncan Hunter dropped out of the race, after yesterday's results.
  • John Edwards admits he got his "butt kicked" in Nevada, but vows to press on. My guess, though, is that if he has a poor showing in South Carolina, he'll be pressured to drop out of the race. It's looking very much like a two-horse race. (Why Kucinich continues to campaign is beyond me. And I imagine Richardson must be discouraged by his poor performance in a Southwestern state.)
  • The wide disparities between results in the Republican race reflects, in my opinion, a severe internal conflict in the Republican party. Romney appeals to libertarian-leaning, pro-business conservatives; McCain appeals to values-oriented conservatives; Huckabee appeals to evangelical Christians. The likelihood of a third-party candidate "Nadering" the Republican vote this year seems to be growing.
  • Giuliani continues to pin his hopes on the upcoming Florida primary, and the 22 "Super Tuesday" states that vote on February 5th.
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Posted by Ken in: politics

Michigan Primary Results
Wednesday, 2008 January 16 - 9:37 am

Republicans:

  • Romney: 39% (24 delegates)
  • McCain: 30% (5 delegates)
  • Huckabee: 16% (1 delegate)
  • Paul: 6%
  • Thompson: 4%
  • Giuliani: 3%
  • Hunter: 0%

Notes

  • The Democratic Party stripped Michigan of all its delegates for having its primary too early, so Democratic vote counts are essentially meaningless.
  • The Republican Party stripped Michigan of half of its delegates.
  • Liberal blogger Markos Moulitsas had called for Democrats to vote for Mitt Romney, since the Democratic primary was meaningless, and a Romney victory would complicate the close Republican race (and tie up campaign dollars in the primary).
  • McCain now has a dominant lead in national polls, ahead of Huckabee; former front-runner Giuliani is a distant third, and Romney is fourth.
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Posted by Ken in: politics

New Hampshire Primary Results
Wednesday, 2008 January 9 - 9:08 am

Democrats:

  • Clinton: 39% (9 delegates)
  • Obama: 36% (9 delegates)
  • Edwards: 17% (4 delegates)
  • Richardson: 5%
  • Kucinich: 1%

Republicans:

  • McCain: 37% (7 delegates)
  • Romney: 32% (4 delegates)
  • Huckabee: 11% (1 delegate)
  • Giuliani: 9%
  • Paul: 8%
  • Thompson: 1%
  • Hunter: 0%

Notes

  • Delegate counts are estimated.
  • Obama had led significantly in polls in the days leading up to the election.
  • Exit polling reveals that women voted heavily for Clinton, as did voters in big cities.
  • Republicans voted for McCain based on his character, despite agreeing more with Romney on issues.
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Posted by Ken in: politics

Iowa Caucus Results!
Friday, 2008 January 4 - 9:31 am

Democrats:

  • Obama: 38% (16 delegates)
  • Edwards: 30% (14 delegates)
  • Clinton: 29% (15 delegates)
  • Richardson: 2%
  • Biden: 1%
  • Dodd: 0%
  • Kucinich: 0%

Republicans:

  • Huckabee: 34% (17 delegates)
  • Romney: 25% (12 delegates)
  • Thompson: 13% (3 delegates)
  • McCain: 13% (3 delegates)
  • Paul: 10% (2 delegates)
  • Giuliani: 3%
  • Hunter: 0%

Notes

  • I'm going with media projections of Republican delegates; the actual numbers may change. Updated with CNN's delegate projections, January 20, 2008.
  • Clinton received more delegates than Edwards despite receiving less of the popular vote, due to the mechanics of the Democrat's Iowa caucus system.
  • Giuliani did not campaign in Iowa.
  • Joe Biden and Chris Dodd dropped out of the Democratic nominating race after the Iowa results.

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Posted by Ken in: politics

The Field
Wednesday, 2008 January 2 - 9:30 pm
Completing my series on presidential candidates, here's a brief look at the remainder of the Democratic and Republican field.

In earlier posts, I made some detailed observations about Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, and John Edwards on the Democratic side, and Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, and Mitt Romney on the Republican side. For the rest of the field, I'll keep it brief.

Read more...
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Posted by Ken in: politics

Mitt Romney
Wednesday, 2008 January 2 - 8:58 pm
Continuing my series on presidential candidates, here's my look at Mitt Romney.

If there's a Republican equivalent of John Edwards, it's Romney. Polished. Handsome. Robotic.

Read more...
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Posted by Ken in: politics

John Edwards
Wednesday, 2008 January 2 - 8:03 pm
Continuing my series on presidential candidates, here's my look at John Edwards.

Pretty boy. Rich lawyer. Inexperienced. Power-hungry. We heard all the criticisms in 2004, when Edwards ran for President and eventually became the Vice-Presidential candidate for the Democrats. And here he is, making another run.

Read more...
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Posted by Ken in: politics


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